B

Brussels’ $800bn Ukraine bill: Here’s what Hungarians would pay if Brussels gets its way

Ukraine has put forward a demand of $800 billion from Europe for the next decade for reconstruction and economic development, on top of military and defence spending. The Ministry for European Union Affairs’ report records this “Ukrainian Welfare Plan” demand and states that the EU’s already-stretched finances cannot absorb another commitment of this scale without finding new money.

The report explains what follows from that: an EU institutional system struggling with budget deficits could only sustain additional Ukraine financing by collecting extra resources from Member States—which would require major tax increases and austerity-type measures across European economies. And when Brussels looks for “cover” for this financing, it does so through the European Semester, the country reports and country-specific recommendations, and infringement procedures—using these channels to demand that Hungary dismantle key national policies and protections.

This is not theory. The report sets out the numbers and the pressure points in detail, with page references to Brussels’ own texts. We have made the report public today. It is available here.

First, the report records the scale of what has already happened. Since February 2022, the EU and its Member States have paid out 193.3 billion euros to Ukraine in military, financial, humanitarian and refugee-related support. It also notes that the European Council decision of 18–19 December 2025 provides for an additional 90 billion euros in EU borrowing for Ukraine for 2026–2027, financed from international markets and enabled by the EU budget’s headroom. The report adds that Ukraine’s new $800 billion demand would come on top of further EU plans as well, including around 100 billion euros earmarked for Ukraine in the Commission’s next budget package.

Second, the report illustrates what this means for Hungary if Brussels’ approach prevails. It notes that if participation follows the usual GNI-based burden sharing, Hungary’s share is 1.16%. If that share is projected onto an $800 billion EU burden for the next decade, Hungary’s implied bill would be $9.29 billion—roughly 320,717 HUF per person, or more than 1.3 million HUF per family.

Third—and most importantly for Hungarian families—the report sets out what Brussels is demanding from Hungary to create fiscal room and reshape Hungarian policy. The report states explicitly that Brussels targets the Hungarian pension system, and not only the 13th month pension: it speaks about the elimination of the 13th and 14th month pensions and the introduction of private pension-fund systems, while urging the reduction or capping of the 13th month pension. This is a direct warning to pensioners about what Brussels would change if it gets its way.

The report also documents Brussels’ long-standing push to dismantle the Utility Cost Reduction program. It states that the European Commission has demanded the removal of the utility price-cut framework from the beginning and has launched an infringement procedure in connection with it. In other words, Brussels’ energy policy direction would be paid for in household bills.

For families and home ownership, the report lists Brussels’ demands to eliminate Hungary’s home-creation supports, including preferential housing loans, the CSOK system, and stamp duty exemptions. It also points out that Brussels promotes higher property taxation in Hungary—another direct hit to Hungarian households.

On taxation, the report notes that Brussels pushes for a progressive personal income tax, explicitly criticizing Hungary’s 15% flat PIT. It also records criticism of family-related and work-related tax benefits, including those supporting families with children, and criticism of the announced personal income tax exemptions for mothers—policies that directly strengthen families’ financial security and reward work.

The report further notes Brussels’ criticism of the the workers’ loan that supports young people’s rapid entry into work, and it also describes demands affecting other sectors, including pressure for healthcare restructuring and the reshaping of public spending priorities.

Put simply: Ukraine’s $800 billion demand is on the table; Brussels does not have the money; and Brussels’ answer is to force Member States—Hungary included—into policy changes that take support away from pensioners, families, young people and workers, and to push costs onto Hungarian households.

This is what Hungarians need to know. And this is what is at stake in the decisions ahead. One thing is certain: we say no to Brussels’ war plan.