Five leading pollsters have found that the ruling alliance of Fidesz and the Christian Democrats have held on to their supporters, while the left-wing parties have fewer voters than they did in the 2022 general election.
The Center for Fundamental Rights, Társadalomkutató, the Nézőpont Institute, Real-PR 93 and Századvég all found that Fidesz-KDNP, the leftist opposition Democratic Coalition (DK), radical Mi Hazánk and the satirical Two-Tailed Dog Party would be the parties to win seats in the European Parliament election, while some also had liberal Momentum clearing the threshold. The pollsters put Fidesz’s support between 47 and 51%. Four of them found DK to be the leading opposition party with the backing of 11-14% of voters, with Társadalomkutató having DK, Mi Hazánk and the Two-Tailed Dog Party neck-and-neck with 10% each. Mi Hazánk came third in three of the five polls and is supported by 7-10% of voters. Real-PR 93 found the Two-Tailed Dog Party to be the third most popular behind Fidesz and DK, with 11% support. The other pollsters had the satirical party in fourth place with 8-10%. Nézőpont, Századvég and Real-PR 93 also see Momentum clearing the 5% threshold for EP representation, putting the party’s support between 6 and 8%. Nézőpont Institute director Ágoston Sámuel Mraz said a January poll by the think-tank predicts a record turnout of 55% in the EP elections.